April 8, 2020

1. Yesterday's worsening was indeed a fluctuation and the positive trends in Days-to-Double (DD) reconfirm themselves for both the USA and the World.

2. DD for deaths is now at ~9 days for the World, nearly twice better than two weeks ago; and at ~5 days for the USA, little more than twice better than two weeks ago.

3. DD for confirmed cases (i.e. positively tested) is now at ~12 days for the World, twice better than two weeks ago; and at ~9.5 days for the USA, more than three times better than two weeks ago.

4. The peak in daily deaths in the state of NY still expected sometime between April 7th and 9th (NJ should be only a few days behind). After this, a clear ease-off would be expected for the state's medical system.

#Covid19